Loss protection in pairs trading through minimum profit bounds: A cointegration approach
نویسندگان
چکیده
Pairs trading is a comparative-value form of statistical arbitrage designed to exploit temporary random departures from equilibrium pricing between two shares. However, the strategy is not riskless. Market events as well as poor statistical modeling and parameter estimation may all erode potential profits. Since conventional loss limiting trading strategies are costly, a preferable situation is to integrate loss limitation within the statistical modeling itself. This paper uses cointegration principles to develop a procedure that embeds a minimum profit condition within a pairs trading strategy. We derive the necessary conditions for such a procedure and then use them to define and implement a five-step procedure for identifying eligible trades. The statistical validity of the procedure is verified through simulation data. Practicality is tested through actual data. The results show that, at reasonable minimum profit levels, the protocol does not greatly reduce trade numbers or absolute profits relative to an unprotected trading strategy.
منابع مشابه
Dynamic Cointegrated Pairs Trading: Time-Consistent Mean-Variance Strategies
Cointegration is a useful econometric tool for identifying assets which share a common equilibrium. Cointegrated pairs trading is a trading strategy which attempts to take a profit when cointegrated assets depart from their equilibrium. This paper investigates the optimal dynamic trading of cointegrated assets using the classical mean-variance portfolio selection criterion. To ensure rational e...
متن کاملAn Analysis of ‘Triangle Ordering’ in Foreign Exchange Market (Forex): Simultaneous Ordering of Three Major Currency Pairs
With considering a ‘triangle of three major currency pairs’, there is a tiny difference between multiplication of exchange rate for the first two currency pairs and the third. To discover whether this little difference can lead to a neutral arbitrage or not, I took portfolios of 35 baskets of three major currency pairs(combinations of all 7 major currencies). There are eight approaches (differe...
متن کاملIs It Necessary to Restrict Forex Financial Trading? A Modified Model
The Central Bank of Iran banned online currency trading through Forex brokers in November 2016. However, some Iranian speculators still trade in the online Forex market. Is this prohibition on Forex trading reasonable? According to reports, the majority of Forex day traders fail and leave the market within six months to a year. Some scholars attribute this failure to the changeable characterist...
متن کاملProfit rate stickiness and bank specific characteristics: Empirical study of panel hidden cointegration
Profit rate stickiness means the asymmetric behavior of banking profit rate with respect to positive and negative shocks. Scrutinizing this behavior would suggest a new perspective on policy tools and banking supervision. In this regard, this paper applies hidden panel cointegration, proposed by Hatemi-J (2018), to study profit rate and bank specific characteristics nexus for all banks listed o...
متن کاملAn Empirical Analysis of China’s International Reserves Demand Function
The study aims to estimate an international reserves demand model for China using economic growth, propensity to import, real effective exchange rate and trade openness variables for quarterly period spanning from 1985Q1 to 2014Q4.The bounds testing technique to cointegration is used to test for a long run relationship, while the autoregressive distributed lag approach is used to estimate short...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- JAMDS
دوره 2006 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2006